Investment management and advisory firm Goehring & Rozencwajg expects gold to hit record highs this year. “I wouldn’t be surprised to see a $3,000 price this year,” said an executive of the firm. “It’s time for people to want to be bullish on gold.”
Gold Heading for ‘Record Highs’ This Year
Investment firm Goehring & Rozencwajg’s managing partner, Leigh Goehring, shared his outlook for gold in an interview with Kitco News last week. Goehring has 32 years of investing experience specializing in natural resource investments. He co-manages the Goehring & Rozencwajg Resources Fund.
“Gold is going to hit record highs this year,” he began, noting that the metal peaked at $2,050 in August 2020 and again in March last year. The executive told the news outlet:
This year we’re going to break through the all-time high … It’s time for people to want to be bullish on gold.
He believes that the Federal Reserve will stop raising interest rates and might even begin to lower them. “Then we’ll get another big inflation problem … This is the decade of inflation,” he warned. After a series of 75-basis-point interest rate hikes, the Fed raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points last week.
Goehring expects investors to turn to gold once they realize that inflation will not come down to the Fed’s 2% target. “Right now, when inflation increases, the Fed raises rates, and people sell gold,” he described, adding:
I think the psychology is going to switch to inflation going up, the Fed not raising rates or lagging behind, and inflation becoming a real problem.
The investment manager likened the current situation to what happened in the 1970s. “After the Fed started to aggressively raise rates starting in 1973, gold prices corrected by 45% … When the Fed finally gave up a few years later, inflation on a year-over-year basis was still at 5%,” he explained. Noting that the market will realize that the Fed’s rate hikes are ending and inflation is not done, the executive said: “Back to the 1970s, when people saw that inflation was still a big problem, that’s when the gold price began to go crazy after bottoming at the end of 1976.”
While admitting that he does not know “how high gold can go,” Goehring opined:
I wouldn’t be surprised to see a $3,000 price this year.
Gold’s spot price stood at $1,869 per ounce at the time of writing, with gold futures trading at $1,882. Goehring is not alone in expecting gold to hit record highs this year. Market strategist Gareth Soloway believes that gold will be the best performer in 2023. Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki said in January that gold could hit $3,800 this year. Meanwhile, Harry Dent has predicted that gold may fall to the range of $900 to $1,000 over the next 18 months.
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A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.
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